This article is part of our Soccer Picks series.
Our 2022 World Cup betting previews
Group A | Group B | Group C | Group D | Group E | Group F | Group G | Group H
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This is probably the last World Cup for Cristiano Ronaldo unless he’s still playing for the national team at 41. That said, the Group H discussion will revolve around Portugal and Ronaldo.
For Portugal, this is one of the easiest groups they have been in as in the last three World Cups they have had to face Spain, Germany and Brazil in the group stage. Uruguay are a good team and they reached the quarter-finals four years ago, but they are not at the same level as the aforementioned teams.
Ronaldo is growing in age, but the majority of their squad are in their late 20s with the exception of veteran Pepe, who will be 39 if he makes the squad. Diogo Jota, Bruno Fernandes and Joao Cancelo are a few players who were perhaps too young to make a dent in the previous World Cup.
Despite being far behind Brazil and Argentina in qualifying, Uruguay’s performance at recent World Cups has arguably been better, mainly because they are rarely favored to progress past the knockout stages. They beat Portugal in their first knockout tie four years ago and managed a fourth-place finish 12 years ago. Uruguay are an older side, especially at the back line, but Liverpool newcomer Darwin Nunez is hoping to make a splash. Of course, Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani remain, although both are well past their prime.
South Korea are next in terms of odds, only because Ghana are the other team in the group. Since finishing fourth in 2002, South Korea have dropped out of the group stage just once in the last four World Cups and they haven’t had to do much to secure that spot. , finishing behind Iran in qualifying and ahead of the United Arab Emirates and Iray. Son Heung-min is great, but the top talent around him has been lacking in recent years.
As for Ghana, they are back in the World Cup after missing out on 2018. They failed to qualify in their last appearance in 2014 but they also reached the quarter-finals in South Africa. Ghana only entered having won on away goals against Nigeria, but they deserve some respect with Premier League talent between Thomas Partey and Daniel Amartey. Unfortunately, that won’t help them score against Portugal and Uruguay.
According to sportsbooks, you can get Portugal at a good -145 to win the group with Uruguay not far behind at +210. In terms of longshots, South Korea is at +1100 and Ghana at +1200.
Portugal don’t always match their talent on these stages, but I think their mix of talent and general youth will be enough to win the group. I’m still suspicious of what the Uruguay team will use in this game unless they’re all in on Nunez and only use Cavani and Suarez on the bench.
Portugal winner Group H -145
If you don’t believe Portugal, which is always reasonable, Uruguay to win the group at +210 isn’t the worst number. I would consider that mainly because I don’t think South Korea or Ghana are in play to win the group. If Portugal and Uruguay both get six points from these clashes, it will come down to a one-on-one clash.
If you’re a big Son fan, South Korea’s qualification is +250, which isn’t great. Uruguay only have -130 to beat South Korea, so if this game ends in a draw, anything is possible.
BEST MATCHUP FOR BETTING
November 28, Portugal v Uruguay, Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
This match could decide the group, assuming they don’t slip into other matches. Portugal are a decent favorite with +110 to win against +260 for Uruguay and +225 for the draw. A lot of bettors will look to attacking talent in this game, but I think both of these teams like to rely on their defense.
Going against the public, and often Ronaldo, is always the way to go. As of this writing, under 2.5 goals are at -155 and I think that number will go down as more money comes in. You can get “No” on both teams to score at -115, but for this article and the majority of tournament play, I like under 0.5 first half goals at +160.
Less than .5 goals 1H +160
Uruguay struggled in the qualifiers against Brazil and Argentina, and I think Portugal presents the same kind of test. I’m afraid Uruguay had a decent success in the World Cup and Portugal didn’t really struggle to get here, but I’ll go with a team that doesn’t have to start Cavani in a meaningful game .